Analytics
Resolved Iran on 29 Jun 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Iran at 8.5%. Yes opened at 50% on 26 Jun 2026. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 26 Jun 2026 to 29 Jun 2026, the highest close was 91.5% on 29 Jun 2026 and the lowest 50% on 26 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 37 points up, to 91.5% on 29 Jun 2026. $17.85K traded over the market's life.
43 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 30, 5:17 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 26 Jun 2026 – 29 Jun 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 26 Jun 2026 | 50.0% |
| 29 Jun 2026 | 91.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| claudesports | Syria | 1.3K |
| PontiusPilate | Syria | 966.38 |
| mczippo | Syria | 423.49 |
| jackmeghivott | Syria | 313.61 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
In the upcoming FIBA WCQ Asia game, scheduled for June 29 at 9:30AM ET: If the Iran win, the market will resolve to "Iran". If the Syria win, the market will resolve to "Syria". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bkfibaqas-ira-syr-2026-06-29
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Alaoq | Syria | 306.23 |
| baseinv3 | Syria | 254.09 |
| Impish-Race | Syria | 245.99 |
| imake1mil | Syria | 205.61 |
| Negyedikaccount | Syria | 172.7 |
| 15perces | Syria | 125.33 |
