Analytics
Resolved Lebanon on 5 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Lebanon at 96.8%. The India side opened at 49.5% on 30 Jun 2026. Before it settled, the high was 50% on 1 Jul 2026 and the low 3.2% on 5 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 36 points down, to 13% on 3 Jul 2026. $8.22K traded over the market's life.
12 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 6, 5:43 PM UTC
Daily closes of the India price, Polymarket CLOB · 6 points · 30 Jun 2026 – 5 Jul 2026
| Observed | India price |
|---|---|
| 30 Jun 2026 | 49.5% |
| 5 Jul 2026 | 3.2% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Essential-Trust | India | 1.15K |
| dodsy | India | 248.83 |
| Deafening-Possible | India | 150 |
| Swift Harbor 5E97 | India | 35.71 |
| activok | India | 34.48 |
| GUINESS123 | India | 30 |
| koikiok | India | 12.29 |
| VitMo | India | 12 |
| zaqaz | India | 10 |
| Sleepy-Cactus | India | 6 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
In the upcoming FIBA WCQ Asia game, scheduled for July 5 at 11:00AM ET: If the India win, the market will resolve to "India". If the Lebanon win, the market will resolve to "Lebanon". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Resolution source: https://www.fiba.basketball/basketballworldcup/2027/qualifiers
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bkfibaqas-ind-leb-2026-07-05
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