Analytics
Resolved Mexico on 1 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Mexico at 30.5%. The Mexico side opened at 26.5% on 18 Aug 2026. Before it settled, the high was 35.5% on 23 Aug 2026 and the low 21% on 30 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 9.5 points down, to 26% on 24 Aug 2026. $4.28K traded over the market's life.
8 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 2, 5:54 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Mexico price, Polymarket CLOB, 15 points, 18 Aug 2026 – 1 Sep 2026, chart shows 15%–40%
| Observed | Mexico price |
|---|---|
| 18 Aug 2026 | 26.5% |
| 1 Sep 2026 | 30.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Illustrious-Hip | Brazil | 449.99 |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. | Brazil | 52.67 |
| Cobalt Maven 4AF0 | Brazil | 46.62 |
| A0425 | Brazil | 1.35 |
| sampo-one | Brazil | 0.69 |
| claudesports | Brazil | 0.2 |
| ronaldooo | Brazil | 0.11 |
| donkabadonka | Brazil | 0.02 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
In the upcoming FIBA WCQ Americas game, scheduled for August 30 at 6:00PM ET: If the Mexico win, the market will resolve to "Mexico". If the Brazil win, the market will resolve to "Brazil". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bkfibaqam-mex-bra-2026-08-30
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