Analytics
Resolved Dominican Republic on 7 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Dominican Republic at 4%. Yes opened at 50% on 1 Jul 2026. Before it settled, the high was 97.9% on 6 Jul 2026 and the low 49% on 4 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 40 points up, to 89% on 5 Jul 2026. $13.74K traded over the market's life.
14 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 8, 2:25 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 7 points · 1 Jul 2026 – 7 Jul 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2026 | 50.0% |
| 7 Jul 2026 | 96.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Essential-Trust | Nicaragua | 1.65K |
| poshposh | Nicaragua | 1.26K |
| GUINESS123 | Nicaragua | 200 |
| signalso | Nicaragua | 101.88 |
| Instructive-Glance | Nicaragua | 67.97 |
| RadioFreeZerg | Nicaragua | 50 |
| Pen2 | Nicaragua | 38.54 |
| Bold-Encounter | Nicaragua | 34.66 |
| Intent-Pregnancy | Nicaragua | 33.57 |
| 338383833 | Nicaragua | 32.08 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
In the upcoming FIBA WCQ Americas game, scheduled for July 6 at 8:00PM ET: If the Dominican Republic win, the market will resolve to "Dominican Republic". If the Nicaragua win, the market will resolve to "Nicaragua". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bkfibaqam-dom-nic-2026-07-06
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