Analytics
Resolved Canada on 4 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Canada at 97.9%. The Canada side opened at 49.5% on 28 Jun 2026. Before it settled, the high was 97.9% on 4 Jul 2026 and the low 48% on 30 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 31 points up, to 78.5% on 1 Jul 2026. $3.41K traded over the market's life.
12 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 5, 2:09 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Canada price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 28 Jun 2026 – 4 Jul 2026
| Observed | Canada price |
|---|---|
| 28 Jun 2026 | 49.5% |
| 4 Jul 2026 | 97.9% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| RadioFreeZerg | Puerto Rico | 69.62 |
| jackmeghivott | Puerto Rico | 35.61 |
| Polite-Expectancy | Puerto Rico | 22.22 |
| cesarcc | Puerto Rico | 18.83 |
| triklozoid | Puerto Rico | 14.98 |
| VitMo | Puerto Rico | 11.98 |
| Lavincey | Puerto Rico | 10 |
| activok | Puerto Rico | 9.9 |
| fyppyf | Puerto Rico | 5 |
| Garmonbozia | Puerto Rico | 2.3 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
In the upcoming FIBA WCQ Americas game, scheduled for July 3 at 4:00PM ET: If the Canada win, the market will resolve to "Canada". If the Puerto Rico win, the market will resolve to "Puerto Rico". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Resolution source: https://www.fiba.basketball/basketballworldcup/2027/qualifiers
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bkfibaqam-can-pue-2026-07-03
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
