
Resolved Nigeria on 2 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Nigeria at 84.5%. The Tunisia side opened at 50% on 27 Jun 2026. Before it settled, the high was 52% on 30 Jun 2026 and the low 15.5% on 2 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 37 points down, to 15.5% on 2 Jul 2026. $6.03K traded over the market's life.
25 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 3, 3:45 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Tunisia price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 27 Jun 2026 – 2 Jul 2026
| Observed | Tunisia price |
|---|---|
| 27 Jun 2026 | 50.0% |
| 2 Jul 2026 | 15.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| wangkaihua | Tunisia | 905.34 |
| JHAMILTONAT | Tunisia | 625 |
| SH2610 | Tunisia | 156.35 |
| Shawnyou | Tunisia | 146.11 |
| Impish-Race | Tunisia | 131.88 |
| omnibus-076daa | Tunisia | 96.9 |
| Maryyyyyy | Tunisia | 56.99 |
| 418984528 | Tunisia | 54.14 |
| SnakeBall | Tunisia | 41.51 |
| eridoseudosm14 | Tunisia | 25.6 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
In the upcoming FIBA WCQ Africa game, scheduled for July 2 at 8:00AM ET: If the Tunisia win, the market will resolve to "Tunisia". If the Nigeria win, the market will resolve to "Nigeria". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Resolution source: https://www.fiba.basketball/basketballworldcup/2027/qualifiers
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bkfibaqaf-tun-nig-2026-07-02
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