Analytics
Resolved South Sudan on 28 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had South Sudan at 61%. The South Sudan side opened at 50% on 16 Aug 2026. Before it settled, the high was 61% on 28 Aug 2026 and the low 49.5% on 20 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 12 points up, to 61% on 28 Aug 2026. $7.47K traded over the market's life.
20 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 29, 3:13 PM UTC
Daily closes of the South Sudan price, Polymarket CLOB, 13 points, 16 Aug 2026 – 28 Aug 2026, chart shows 45%–65%
| Observed | South Sudan price |
|---|---|
| 16 Aug 2026 | 50.0% |
| 28 Aug 2026 | 61.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| imake1mil | Nigeria | 300.45 |
| hii7 | Nigeria | 169.25 |
| Few-Stop | Nigeria | 97.17 |
| vsbetka | Nigeria | 95.4 |
| 15perces | Nigeria | 72 |
| zahara-003 | Nigeria | 48.6 |
| kitopesivan | Nigeria | 43.95 |
| Forkify-002 | Nigeria | 38.45 |
| Jimmyman132 | Nigeria | 33.86 |
| sizing | Nigeria | 30.36 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
In the upcoming FIBA WCQ Africa game, scheduled for August 28 at 6:00AM ET: If the South Sudan win, the market will resolve to "South Sudan". If the Nigeria win, the market will resolve to "Nigeria". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bkfibaqaf-sou-nig-2026-08-28
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