Analytics
Resolved South Sudan on 4 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had South Sudan at 7.5%. Yes opened at 49.5% on 29 Jun 2026. Before it settled, the high was 92.5% on 4 Jul 2026 and the low 48% on 30 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 40 points up, to 92.5% on 4 Jul 2026. $37.23K traded over the market's life.
35 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 5, 5:53 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 6 points · 29 Jun 2026 – 4 Jul 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 29 Jun 2026 | 49.5% |
| 4 Jul 2026 | 92.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| baseinv3 | Cape Verde | 384 |
| imake1mil | Cape Verde | 342.07 |
| Impish-Race | Cape Verde | 327.62 |
| Usernombre | Cape Verde | 311.21 |
| jackmeghivott | Cape Verde | 242.56 |
| jackinv1lvl2 | Cape Verde | 228.26 |
| Negyedikaccount | Cape Verde | 201 |
| tenpercenttest | Cape Verde | 201 |
| 15perces | Cape Verde | 184 |
| SnakeBall | Cape Verde | 120.5 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
In the upcoming FIBA WCQ Africa game, scheduled for July 4 at 10:00AM ET: If the South Sudan win, the market will resolve to "South Sudan". If the Cape Verde win, the market will resolve to "Cape Verde". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bkfibaqaf-sou-cap-2026-07-04
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