Analytics
Resolved South Sudan on 27 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had South Sudan at 75.5%. The Guinea side opened at 50% on 15 Aug 2026. Before it settled, across the 13 daily closes on record from 15 Aug 2026 to 27 Aug 2026, the highest close was 50.5% on 16 Aug 2026 and the lowest 24.5% on 27 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 25 points down, to 24.5% on 27 Aug 2026. $9.97K traded over the market's life.
9 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 28, 2:19 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Guinea price, Polymarket CLOB, 13 points, 15 Aug 2026 – 27 Aug 2026, chart shows 10%–60%
| Observed | Guinea price |
|---|---|
| 15 Aug 2026 | 50.0% |
| 27 Aug 2026 | 24.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| PleaseNoCopy | Guinea | 1.83K |
| hii7 | Guinea | 215 |
| value77 | Guinea | 119.5 |
| Impish-Race | Guinea | 94.45 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
In the upcoming FIBA WCQ Africa game, scheduled for August 27 at 6:00AM ET: If the Guinea win, the market will resolve to "Guinea". If the South Sudan win, the market will resolve to "South Sudan". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bkfibaqaf-gui-sou-2026-08-27
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Aprotya | Guinea | 33.44 |
| testoooorr | Guinea | 26.09 |
| dbe001 | Guinea | 10 |
| Space-Oddity | Guinea | 5 |
| LuckyLoo | Guinea | 2.36 |
