Analytics
Resolved Cameroon on 2 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Cameroon at 81%. The Cape Verde side opened at 49.5% on 27 Jun 2026. Before it settled, the high was 50% on 28 Jun 2026 and the low 19% on 2 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 28 points down, to 19% on 2 Jul 2026. $4.35K traded over the market's life.
22 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 3, 8:25 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Cape Verde price, Polymarket CLOB · 6 points · 27 Jun 2026 – 2 Jul 2026
| Observed | Cape Verde price |
|---|---|
| 27 Jun 2026 | 49.5% |
| 2 Jul 2026 | 19.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Usernombre | Cape Verde | 1K |
| Vigilant-Environment | Cape Verde | 143.1 |
| reghergh | Cape Verde | 136.78 |
| Impish-Race | Cape Verde | 116.49 |
| mathacewa | Cape Verde | 107.26 |
| Bold Pioneer 867B | Cape Verde | 83.33 |
| sangs666 | Cape Verde | 62 |
| ezq-gk-7 | Cape Verde | 62 |
| Persephone666 | Cape Verde | 24.6 |
| rtyurt5uy5 | Cape Verde | 23.5 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
In the upcoming FIBA WCQ Africa game, scheduled for July 2 at 1:00PM ET: If the Cape Verde win, the market will resolve to "Cape Verde". If the Cameroon win, the market will resolve to "Cameroon". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Resolution source: https://www.fiba.basketball/basketballworldcup/2027/qualifiers
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bkfibaqaf-cap-cam-2026-07-02
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