Analytics
Yes is at 18%, down 10 points from 28% when the market opened on 6 Feb 2026.
The high was 52% on 8 Jun 2026 and the low 9% on 16 Jul 2026. A week ago Yes was at 20%; a month ago, 24%. Its largest one-day move was 28 points down, to 16.5% on 27 Jun 2026.
$11.45K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $302.04, with a 12.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 223 trades, $1.37K bought Yes and $2.11K bought No.
The largest Yes position is 0xhanxyz with 1.1K shares; the largest No position is empty888 with 301. Ten wallets hold 82.6% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 87 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 7, 1:23 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 201 points · 6 Feb 2026 – 7 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Feb 2026 | 28.0% |
| 7 Oct 2026 | 18.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| 0xhanxyz | Yes | 1.05K |
| empty888 | No | 300.6 |
| zhaoxin.trade. | No | 285 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if BitMine publicly discloses a sale of Ethereum by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying sale requires a public disclosure - via SEC filing, official BitMine communication, or Tom Lee - confirming that Ethereum was sold. The disclosure itself must occur by 11:59 PM ET on the resolution date. On-chain movements alone, including transfers to exchange deposit addresses, do not qualify as confirmation of a sale. Ethereum sales that are disclosed after the resolution deadline do not qualify, regardless of when the underlying sale occurred. The resolution source is official communications from BitMine (@fundstrat / @BitMNR), SEC filings (Form 8-K or equivalent), or a consensus of credible financial reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bitmine-sells-any-ethereum-in-2026
| AlAhmeda |
| No |
| 264.09 |
| Frankeethecat | No | 200 |
| erlichbachmn | Yes | 114.61 |
| leetbetter | No | 105.79 |
| juerz | Yes | 96.97 |
| kekea | Yes | 90.22 |
| fi5h | No | 62.01 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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