Analytics
The Up side is at 55.5% on Polymarket.
$2.42K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $38.38K, with a 1.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 49 trades, $702.85 bought Up and $516.37 bought Down.
The largest Up position is Ideal-Friction with 788 shares; the largest Down position is Niseko with 600. Ten wallets hold 79.4% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 26 Oct 2026, tomorrow.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 25, 5:16 PM UTC
The paper ticket needs a verified Yes / No pair, which this market does not have here.
Open in PredictionsDaily closes of the Up price, Polymarket CLOB, 1 point, 25 Oct 2026, chart shows 50%–62%
| Observed | Up price |
|---|---|
| 25 Oct 2026 | 55.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Ideal-Friction | Up | 788.37 |
| Niseko | Down | 600 |
| Rhabarberbarbarbar | Up | 587.11 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Oct 25 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Oct 26 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Oct 25 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Oct 26 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-up-or-down-on-october-26-2026
| thebiggray |
| Down |
| 417.98 |
| HBX02 | Down | 200 |
| ComTruise | Down | 149.76 |
| PBH | Up | 96.15 |
| TUS2345 | Up | 95.06 |
| Silver Sphinx 2E24 | Down | 83.6 |
| Swift Signal 6825 | Down | 72.85 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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