Bitcoin Up or Down on November 22?

Resolved

Down, settled Nov 22, 2025 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$781.1K

Resolved

Down

Settled

Nov 22, 2025 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved Down on 22 Nov 2025.

The last daily price before settlement had Down at 40%. Yes opened at 49.5% on 21 Nov 2025. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 21 Nov 2025 to 22 Nov 2025, the highest close was 60% on 22 Nov 2025 and the lowest 49.5% on 21 Nov 2025. Its largest one-day move was 10 points up, to 60% on 22 Nov 2025. $781.08K traded over the market's life.

135 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Nov 24, 12:34 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 21 Nov 2025 – 22 Nov 2025, chart shows 45%–65%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
21 Nov 2025	49.5%
22 Nov 2025	60.0%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
dumbass2	Up	5.72K
BlockBuilders	Up	3.74K
sidcb24u9xea	Up	2.25K
jakchuan	Up	2K

10 of 135 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Nov 21 '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Nov 22 '25 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Nov 21 '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Nov 22 '25 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.