Bitcoin Up or Down on January 23?

Resolved

Up, settled Jan 23, 2026 UTC

Down

100.0%

0.0%

Final Down 100¢Final Up 0¢

Lifetime volume

$807.0K

Resolved

Settled

Jan 23, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved Up on 23 Jan 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had Up at 34%. The Down side opened at 50.5% on 22 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 22 Jan 2026 to 23 Jan 2026, the highest close was 66% on 23 Jan 2026 and the lowest 50.5% on 22 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 16 points up, to 66% on 23 Jan 2026. $807.01K traded over the market's life.

182 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Jan 25, 12:21 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Down price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 22 Jan 2026 – 23 Jan 2026, chart shows 45%–70%

Down price, first and latest
Observed	Down price
22 Jan 2026	50.5%
23 Jan 2026	66.0%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Silky-Phosphate	Down	7.67K
thedogrex	Down	7.21K
Shiny-Hope	Down	3.5K
FGJHF	Down	3.25K

10 of 182 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jan 22 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Jan 23 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jan 22 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Jan 23 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.