Bitcoin Up or Down on December 28?

Resolved

Up, settled Dec 28, 2025 UTC

Yes

100.0%

0.0%

Final Yes 100¢Final No 0¢

Lifetime volume

$253.0K

Resolved

Settled

Dec 28, 2025 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved Up on 28 Dec 2025.

The last daily price before settlement had Up at 32%. Yes opened at 50.5% on 27 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 27 Dec 2025 to 28 Dec 2025, the highest close was 68% on 28 Dec 2025 and the lowest 50.5% on 27 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 18 points up, to 68% on 28 Dec 2025. $253.02K traded over the market's life.

66 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Dec 30, 12:36 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 27 Dec 2025 – 28 Dec 2025, chart shows 45%–75%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
27 Dec 2025	50.5%
28 Dec 2025	68.0%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
exceeding	Down	22.9K
gobblewobble	Down	8.67K
patternrecovery	Down	5.95K
Rafaeze	Down	3.83K

10 of 66 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Dec 27 '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Dec 28 '25 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Dec 27 '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Dec 28 '25 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.