Bitcoin Up or Down on December 24?

Resolved

Down, settled Dec 24, 2025 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$316.4K

Resolved

Down

Settled

Dec 24, 2025 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved Down on 24 Dec 2025.

The last daily price before settlement had Down at 65.5%. Yes opened at 50.5% on 23 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 23 Dec 2025 to 24 Dec 2025, the highest close was 50.5% on 23 Dec 2025 and the lowest 34.5% on 24 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 16 points down, to 34.5% on 24 Dec 2025. $316.39K traded over the market's life.

122 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Dec 26, 12:33 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 23 Dec 2025 – 24 Dec 2025, chart shows 30%–55%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
23 Dec 2025	50.5%
24 Dec 2025	34.5%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Trifling-Doctorate	Up	5.69K
Fartard	Up	5K
blasey	Up	2.02K
Bezdelnik	Up	2K

10 of 122 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Dec 23 '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Dec 24 '25 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Dec 23 '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Dec 24 '25 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.