Bitcoin Up or Down on December 18?

Resolved

Up, settled Dec 18, 2025 UTC

Down

100.0%

0.0%

Final Down 100¢Final Up 0¢

Lifetime volume

$253.1K

Resolved

Settled

Dec 18, 2025 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved Up on 18 Dec 2025.

The last daily price before settlement had Up at 65%. The Down side opened at 50.5% on 17 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 17 Dec 2025 to 18 Dec 2025, the highest close was 50.5% on 17 Dec 2025 and the lowest 35% on 18 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 16 points down, to 35% on 18 Dec 2025. $253.14K traded over the market's life.

104 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Dec 20, 12:34 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Down price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 17 Dec 2025 – 18 Dec 2025, chart shows 30%–55%

Down price, first and latest
Observed	Down price
17 Dec 2025	50.5%
18 Dec 2025	35.0%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
wllp	Down	2.92K
mdamdas	Down	1K
dsadik	Down	825.65
ZerfetzerCH	Down	555.56

10 of 104 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Dec 17 '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Dec 18 '25 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Dec 17 '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Dec 18 '25 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.