Analytics
The Up side is at 48.5%, down 1.5 points from 50% when the market opened on 25 Oct 2026.
Across the 2 daily closes on record from 25 Oct 2026 to 26 Oct 2026, the highest close was 50% on 25 Oct 2026 and the lowest 48.5% on 26 Oct 2026.
$383.92 traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $9.22K, with a 1.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
The largest Up position is S-Snake with 135 shares; the largest Down position is microwaveshepard with 380.
Trading closes on 26 Oct 2026, tomorrow.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 26, 8:38 AM UTC
The paper ticket needs a verified Yes / No pair, which this market does not have here.
Open in PredictionsDaily closes of the Up price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 25 Oct 2026 – 26 Oct 2026, chart shows 44%–56%
| Observed | Up price |
|---|---|
| 25 Oct 2026 | 50.0% |
| 26 Oct 2026 | 48.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| microwaveshepard | Down | 380 |
| S-Snake | Up | 135 |
| 796F726B69 | Up | 120 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the BTC/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-up-or-down-october-26-2026-5am-et
| Well-Informed-Witness |
| Up |
| 70 |
| boppbop | Up | 35 |
| gabrielisme | Up | 20 |
| Troubled-Handmaiden | Up | 3.92 |
| mia1111 | Down | 3.92 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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