Analytics
The Up side is at 51.5%, up 1.5 points from 50% at 25 Oct 2026, 02:00 UTC.
Across 19 price reads from 25 Oct 2026, 02:00 UTC to 25 Oct 2026, 23:00 UTC, the highest read was 51.5% on 25 Oct 2026, 23:00 UTC and the lowest 50% on 25 Oct 2026, 02:00 UTC.
$480 traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $9.29K, with a 1.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
The largest Up position is microwaveshepard with 380 shares; the largest Down position is S-Snake with 150.
Trading closes on 26 Oct 2026, tomorrow.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 26, 1:00 AM UTC
The paper ticket needs a verified Yes / No pair, which this market does not have here.
Open in PredictionsHourly closes of the Up price, Polymarket CLOB, 19 points, 25 Oct, 02:00 UTC – 25 Oct, 23:00 UTC, chart shows 45%–60%
| Observed | Up price |
|---|---|
| 25 Oct, 02:00 UTC | 50.0% |
| 25 Oct, 23:00 UTC | 51.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| microwaveshepard | Up | 380 |
| S-Snake | Down | 150 |
| mia1111 | Down | 120 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the BTC/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-up-or-down-october-25-2026-11pm-et
| boppbop |
| Down |
| 120 |
| Sarmat7 | Up | 100 |
| Well-Informed-Witness | Down | 70 |
| gabrielisme | Down | 20 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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