Bitcoin Up or Down in Q2?

cryptoResolved

Up, settled Jul 1, 2025 UTC

100.0%

Down

0.0%

Final Up 100¢Final Down 0¢

Lifetime volume

$162.7K

Resolved

Settled

Jul 1, 2025 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved Up on 1 Jul 2025.

The last daily price before settlement had Up at 98.8%. The Up side opened at 54.5% on 2 Apr 2025. Before it settled, across the 91 daily closes on record from 2 Apr 2025 to 1 Jul 2025, the highest close was 99.7% on 30 Jun 2025 and the lowest 38% on 9 Apr 2025. Its largest one-day move was 12 points up, to 50% on 10 Apr 2025. $162.66K traded over the market's life.

13 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Jul 2, 8:24 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Up price, Polymarket CLOB, 91 points, 2 Apr 2025 – 1 Jul 2025

Up price, first and latest
Observed	Up price
2 Apr 2025	54.5%
1 Jul 2025	98.8%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
CrownTrading	Down	89.25K
fedparodi	Down	5.1K
Tothemoon2027	Down	699.82

10 of 13 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTCUSDT 01 Apr '25 00:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the 30 Jun '25 23:59 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTCUSDT 01 Apr '25 00:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the 30 Jun '25 23:59 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTCUSDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTCUSDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.