Bitcoin Up or Down - December 8, 12AM ET

Resolved

Up, settled Dec 9, 2025 UTC

Yes

100.0%

0.0%

Final Yes 100¢Final No 0¢

Lifetime volume

$114.9K

Resolved

Settled

Dec 9, 2025 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved Up on 9 Dec 2025.

The last daily price before settlement had Up at 0%. Yes opened at 50% on 7 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 7 Dec 2025 to 9 Dec 2025, the highest close was 100% on 9 Dec 2025 and the lowest 50% on 7 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 50 points up, to 100% on 9 Dec 2025. $114.9K traded over the market's life.

70 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Dec 10, 4:34 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 7 Dec 2025 – 9 Dec 2025

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
7 Dec 2025	50.0%
9 Dec 2025	100.0%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
carnmaxxi	Down	3.6K
inevitablecrit	Down	3.5K
Indigo Falcon 73E1	Down	2K
Jade Orbit 58BD	Down	2K

10 of 70 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the BTC/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.