Analytics
Resolved Down on 17 Dec 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Down at 49.5%. Yes opened at 50% on 16 Dec 2025. Before it settled, the high was 50.5% on 17 Dec 2025 and the low 50% on 16 Dec 2025. $63.04K traded over the market's life.
61 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 18, 8:31 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 3 points · 16 Dec 2025 – 17 Dec 2025 · axis zoomed to 45%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 Dec 2025 | 50.0% |
| 17 Dec 2025 | 50.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| GUOGUO123 | Up | 1.06K |
| Amber Quasar FBF5 | Up | 999.99 |
| ssfgr | Up | 617.33 |
| Hichito | Up | 609 |
| Indigo Summit 54C5 | Up | 549.95 |
| oddify | Up | 520.99 |
| binkyjj | Up | 499.99 |
| Sleepy-Soy | Up | 394 |
| uikuin | Up | 374.99 |
| Linhr3X | Up | 358.73 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the BTC/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-up-or-down-december-16-11pm-et
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