Analytics
Resolved Negative on 2 Jun 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Negative at 78%. The Positive side opened at 50% on 29 May 2026. Before it settled, across the 5 daily closes on record from 29 May 2026 to 2 Jun 2026, the highest close was 50% on 29 May 2026 and the lowest 22% on 2 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 22 points down, to 27.5% on 1 Jun 2026. $15 traded over the market's life.
2 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 2, 7:35 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Positive price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 29 May 2026 – 2 Jun 2026, chart shows 10%–60%
| Observed | Positive price |
|---|---|
| 29 May 2026 | 50.0% |
| 2 Jun 2026 | 22.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Grandiose-Layer | Positive | 10 |
| rocketcrypto | Positive | 5 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Positive" if total Bitcoin ETF flows on Monday, June 1, 2026 are greater than 0, and to "Negative" if they are less than 0. If flows are exactly 0, the market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source is Farside Investors, specifically the ETF Flow tab available at https://farside.co.uk/btc/ in the "Total" column for the date specified in the title. The total flows will be considered finalized for that day once flows for all ETF providers have been published. If data for any ETF provider remains unpublished by 12 PM ET, 2 days after the date specified in the title, the market will resolve based on all available data published up to that time. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable or fails to publish any data by 12 PM ET, 2 days after the specified date, the market will resolve 50-50.
Resolution source: https://farside.co.uk/btc/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-etf-flows-on-june-1
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
