Analytics
Resolved Negative on 29 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Negative at 78%. The Positive side opened at 50% on 25 Apr 2026. Before it settled, across the 5 daily closes on record from 25 Apr 2026 to 29 Apr 2026, the highest close was 57.5% on 28 Apr 2026 and the lowest 22% on 29 Apr 2026. Its largest one-day move was 36 points down, to 22% on 29 Apr 2026. $143.72 traded over the market's life.
Polymarket record as of Apr 30, 3:40 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Positive price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 25 Apr 2026 – 29 Apr 2026
| Observed | Positive price |
|---|---|
| 25 Apr 2026 | 50.0% |
| 29 Apr 2026 | 22.0% |
Polymarket lists no holders for this market.
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This market will resolve to "Positive" if total Bitcoin ETF flows on Tuesday, April 28, 2026 are greater than 0, and to "Negative" if they are less than 0. If flows are exactly 0, the market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source is Farside Investors, specifically the ETF Flow tab available at https://farside.co.uk/btc/ in the "Total" column for the date specified in the title. The total flows will be considered finalized for that day once flows for all ETF providers have been published. If data for any ETF provider remains unpublished by 12 PM ET, 2 days after the date specified in the title, the market will resolve based on all available data published up to that time. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable or fails to publish any data by 12 PM ET, 2 days after the specified date, the market will resolve 50-50.
Resolution source: https://farside.co.uk/btc/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-etf-flows-on-april-28
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