Analytics
Resolved Yes on 19 Dec 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 40.5%. Yes opened at 82% on 13 Dec 2025. Before it settled, the high was 82% on 13 Dec 2025 and the low 40.5% on 19 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 18 points down, to 53.5% on 18 Dec 2025. $436.2K traded over the market's life.
137 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 12, 4:04 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 8 points · 13 Dec 2025 – 19 Dec 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 13 Dec 2025 | 82.0% |
| 19 Dec 2025 | 40.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Defoy | No | 7.65K |
| Schpiro | No | 7.07K |
| Libitum | No | 5K |
| FunnyBoyDen | No | 4.11K |
| JoaoNunex | No | 3.84K |
| lavito | No | 3K |
| Cornelius1 | No | 2.75K |
| Kebanajfhenw | No | 2.5K |
| fomod | No | 2.29K |
| mizend | No | 2K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-above-on-december-19
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