
Resolved Yes on 10 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 100%. Yes opened at 96.4% on 4 Jan 2026. Before it settled, the high was 100% on 10 Jan 2026 and the low 96.4% on 4 Jan 2026. $57.69K traded over the market's life.
21 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 11, 4:21 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 4 Jan 2026 – 10 Jan 2026, chart shows 90%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Jan 2026 | 96.4% |
| 10 Jan 2026 | 100.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| jukiftw | No | 5K |
| donleo | No | 2K |
| 4t5hg | No | 1K |
| aous | No | 1K |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | No | 770.99 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | No | 572.98 |
| TENETENET | No | 499.99 |
| Steep-Cauliflower | No | 400 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | No | 371.38 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | No | 370.18 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-above-on-january-10
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