Analytics
Resolved Yes on 15 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 100%. Yes opened at 98.2% on 9 Jan 2026. Before it settled, the high was 100% on 15 Jan 2026 and the low 98.2% on 9 Jan 2026. $90.02K traded over the market's life.
24 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 17, 12:23 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 9 Jan 2026 – 15 Jan 2026, chart shows 90%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 Jan 2026 | 98.2% |
| 15 Jan 2026 | 100.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| qqqq88888 | No | 18.21K |
| Abbyll | No | 10K |
| adibou33 | No | 5K |
| Animated-Possession | No | 3K |
| nivishoes | No | 2.5K |
| dolor | No | 1K |
| Emerald Vector 38CC | No | 1K |
| Closed-Cacao | No | 1K |
| Raquimuniz | No | 1K |
| Neon Lynx 21DB | No | 750 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-above-on-january-15
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