Analytics
Resolved No on 12 Oct 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 34% on 6 Oct 2025. Before it settled, the high was 42% on 7 Oct 2025 and the low 0.3% on 12 Oct 2025. Its largest one-day move was 25 points down, to 17% on 8 Oct 2025. $36.75K traded over the market's life.
6 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 13, 4:45 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 7 points · 6 Oct 2025 – 12 Oct 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Oct 2025 | 34.0% |
| 12 Oct 2025 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 9.65K |
| cattalist | Yes | 3.59K |
| Bright Signal 14DE | Yes | 121 |
| Crimson Falcon C79A | Yes | 52.21 |
| Homi68 | Yes | 28.57 |
| RhaegalO | No | 0.02 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final “Close” price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-above-on-october-12
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