Analytics
Resolved No on 18 Oct 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99%. Yes opened at 33.5% on 12 Oct 2025. Before it settled, the high was 61.5% on 14 Oct 2025 and the low 1.1% on 18 Oct 2025. Its largest one-day move was 27 points down, to 18% on 16 Oct 2025. $401.07K traded over the market's life.
29 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 19, 4:34 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 7 points · 12 Oct 2025 – 18 Oct 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Oct 2025 | 33.5% |
| 18 Oct 2025 | 1.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| MOOMOO8 | Yes | 10.88K |
| Unique-Species | Yes | 4K |
| lavito | Yes | 3.17K |
| yec0003 | Yes | 1.41K |
| jxvdrsckra | Yes | 1.24K |
| bdwfrqmqz | Yes | 1.05K |
| giugiug | Yes | 1K |
| Kkkkkkp | Yes | 1K |
| Brush | Yes | 1K |
| liuzehong | Yes | 1K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final “Close” price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-above-on-october-18
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