Analytics
Resolved No on 21 Nov 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 19.5% on 15 Nov 2025. Before it settled, the high was 22.5% on 16 Nov 2025 and the low 0.1% on 21 Nov 2025. Its largest one-day move was 12 points down, to 5.5% on 18 Nov 2025. $211.7K traded over the market's life.
41 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 22, 4:35 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 7 points · 15 Nov 2025 – 21 Nov 2025 · axis zoomed to 0%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 15 Nov 2025 | 19.5% |
| 21 Nov 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| MatrixMember | Yes | 43.5K |
| Whaleisawake | Yes | 28.01K |
| Brando22 | Yes | 13.92K |
| BlackRR | Yes | 2K |
| Zeebbra | Yes | 1.7K |
| Powar | Yes | 1.5K |
| shanwang | Yes | 1.1K |
| Poolgpool | Yes | 1K |
| KKTTT | Yes | 1K |
| Lunar Lynx FE34 | Yes | 999.96 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-above-on-november-21
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