
Resolved Yes on 7 Feb 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 73.6%. Yes opened at 66% on 14 Jan 2026. Before it settled, the high was 80% on 15 Jan 2026 and the low 66% on 14 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 14 points up, to 80% on 15 Jan 2026. $4.36K traded over the market's life.
6 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 8, 8:25 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 25 points, 14 Jan 2026 – 7 Feb 2026, chart shows 60%–85%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 14 Jan 2026 | 66.0% |
| 7 Feb 2026 | 73.6% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Bold Scout BD7E | No | 257 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | No | 249 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | No | 214 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | No | 174 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | No | 110 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | No | 5 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
Bitcoin daily candle change in 2026?
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-daily-candle-change-in-2026-744
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