Analytics
Resolved No on 22 Jul 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 6% on 14 Jun 2024. Before it settled, across the 39 daily closes on record from 14 Jun 2024 to 22 Jul 2024, the highest close was 6.5% on 15 Jun 2024 and the lowest 0.3% on 22 Jul 2024. $32.42K traded over the market's life.
2 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 23, 5:22 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 39 points, 14 Jun 2024 – 22 Jul 2024, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 14 Jun 2024 | 6.0% |
| 22 Jul 2024 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Kapii | No | 0.03 |
| ImHereForTheRewards | No | 0.01 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Note: This market is about Biden winning with exactly 270 electoral votes, with this specific configuration: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Biden+270.png. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Joe Biden secures exactly 270 electoral votes in the 2024 United States Presidential Election by winning the following states and districts: California (54), Colorado (10), Connecticut (7), Delaware (3), District of Columbia (3), Hawaii (4), Illinois (19), Maine (3 out of 4 electoral votes, including the 1st Congressional District and the At-Large vote), Maryland (10), Massachusetts (11), Michigan (15), Minnesota (10), Nebraska's 2nd Congressional District (1), New Hampshire (4), New Jersey (14), New Mexico (5), New York (28), Oregon (8), Pennsylvania (19), Rhode Island (4), Vermont (3), Virginia (13), Washington (12), and Wisconsin (10). If Joe Biden drops out or is otherwise unable to continue the race, the market will immediately resolve to "No." If Joe Biden does not win exactly these states and districts, thereby securing exactly 270 electoral votes, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting (including AP, NBC, Fox) on the final electoral college tally based on which territories each candidate wins.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/biden-wins-270-electoral-votes-midwest-victory
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