Analytics
Resolved No on 28 Jun 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.2%. Yes opened at 2.5% on 19 May 2024. Before it settled, across the 41 daily closes on record from 19 May 2024 to 28 Jun 2024, the highest close was 5.1% on 30 May 2024 and the lowest 0.5% on 24 Jun 2024. $139.52K traded over the market's life.
5 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 29, 3:26 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 41 points, 19 May 2024 – 28 Jun 2024, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 19 May 2024 | 2.5% |
| 28 Jun 2024 | 0.8% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| bittlousy09 | Yes | 1.08K |
| 355555555 | Yes | 632.5 |
| NorgaardRegory | Yes | 20.41 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
On May 17 it was reported that Trump wants Biden to take a drug test before the first debate, stating "I'm going to demand a drug test. I don't want him coming in like at the State of the Union. He was as high as a kite!" This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Biden takes a drug test before his first debate with Trump, currently scheduled to take place on June 27. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No." If no debate occurs before the election, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be information from President Biden and the White House, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/biden-takes-drug-test-before-trump-debate
| Yes |
| 20.41 |
| AninKenedy | Yes | 20.41 |
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