Analytics
Resolved No on 28 Jun 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 89%. Yes opened at 9.5% on 20 Jun 2024. Before it settled, across the 9 daily closes on record from 20 Jun 2024 to 28 Jun 2024, the highest close was 11% on 28 Jun 2024 and the lowest 9.5% on 20 Jun 2024. $54.24K traded over the market's life.
10 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 29, 7:46 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 9 points, 20 Jun 2024 – 28 Jun 2024, chart shows 5%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 20 Jun 2024 | 9.5% |
| 28 Jun 2024 | 11.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| MetaverseHodl | Yes | 3.53K |
| Drew9999 | Yes | 454.55 |
| jjb | Yes | 392.86 |
| bittlousy09 | Yes | 155.56 |
| frfr37 | Yes | 37.5 |
| rust234 | Yes | 35.71 |
| Croissant | Yes | 23.81 |
| VodkaWaterLime | Yes | 20 |
| sarlynho | Yes | 5 |
| CarVerifiedVerified Polymarket profile | No | 0.02 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Joe Biden stumbles at any point during the first in-person presidential debate in the 2024 election cycle, from his initial entrance, to when he exits the debate stage after the completion of the closing remarks. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "Stumble" is defined as any incident where Biden loses his balance and has to catch himself, or falls to the ground. If no in-person debate happens before election day, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be video footage of the debate.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/biden-stumbles-during-debate
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