Analytics
Resolved No on 15 Jun 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.5%. Yes opened at 1.4% on 14 Jun 2024. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 14 Jun 2024 to 15 Jun 2024, the highest close was 1.4% on 14 Jun 2024 and the lowest 0.5% on 15 Jun 2024. $15.02K traded over the market's life.
3 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 16, 4:26 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 14 Jun 2024 – 15 Jun 2024, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 14 Jun 2024 | 1.4% |
| 15 Jun 2024 | 0.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| joostGROOT | Yes | 446.08 |
| Brokie | No | 0.01 |
| wobushinidesudi | No | 0.01 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Joe Biden is recorded stumbling or tripping in public between June 13, 2:30 PM ET and June 14, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If no such footage is released by the end date, this market will resolve to "No." Photographs or announcements will not be considered toward this market's resolution. Only recorded video of Joe Biden stumbling in public will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution. The video must be original and not manipulated or digitally altered to mislead the viewer. Edited videos, deepfakes, or any form of manipulated media will not be considered valid for the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be the video(s) in question, verified by a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/biden-stumbles-again-by-friday
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