Analytics
Resolved Yes on 23 Aug 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.7%. Yes opened at 96.4% on 20 Aug 2024. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 20 Aug 2024 to 23 Aug 2024, the highest close was 99.7% on 23 Aug 2024 and the lowest 96.4% on 20 Aug 2024. $109.03K traded over the market's life.
18 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 24, 3:27 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 20 Aug 2024 – 23 Aug 2024, chart shows 90%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 20 Aug 2024 | 96.4% |
| 23 Aug 2024 | 99.7% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Compassionate-Factor | No | 1.56K |
| kjelhopper | No | 555.56 |
| Poor-Survival | No | 454.55 |
| yeahokay | No | 44.13 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Joe Biden does not attend Kamala Harris's keynote speech at the 2024 Democratic National Convention. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Attendance is defined as Joe Biden's being present in person for Kamala Harris's speech at the DNC. The primary resolution source for this market will be official confirmation from the DNC, Joe Biden, and The White House, or their representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/biden-skips-kamalas-dnc-speech
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Whirlwind-Thaw | No | 44 |
| clasinbiaper1986 | Yes | 0.09 |
| satansese1985 | Yes | 0.07 |
| utglichdesthot1988 | Yes | 0.07 |
| caicusnafor1981 | Yes | 0.07 |
| raya97932 | Yes | 0.06 |
