Analytics
Trading is closed with Yes last at 100%; no result has been reported.
Across the 15 daily closes on record from 20 Jun 2024 to 4 Jul 2024, the highest close was 50.9% on 3 Jul 2024 and the lowest 4.5% on 28 Jun 2024. A week before that last close Yes was at 7.5%. Its largest one-day move was 24 points up, to 28.1% on 29 Jun 2024.
$550.53K has traded since listing.
The largest Yes position is abourget with 83 shares; the largest No position is Slasher21 with 2. Ten wallets hold 99.8% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Polymarket record as of Jun 26, 4:15 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 15 points, 20 Jun 2024 – 4 Jul 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 20 Jun 2024 | 16.5% |
| 4 Jul 2024 | 49.8% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| abourget | Yes | 83.33 |
| AmazingCincy | Yes | 16.67 |
| Slasher21 | No | 2 |
| Proud-Limestone | Yes | 0.06 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Joe Biden exhibits clear signs of senility consistently throughout the Presidential debate scheduled for June 27, 2024. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Isolated gaffes or occasional moments of confusion will not qualify. Clear signs of senility include but are not limited to persistent incoherence, confusion, inability to follow the debate format, or prolonged periods of non-responsiveness. For example if this market were about Biden's 2024 State of the Union Address, it would resolve to "No." The resolution source will be video footage of the debate. No updates or clarifications will be made to this market's rules.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/biden-senile-during-the-debate
| chyvygtvfuhy | Yes | 0.04 |
| Worthless-Speakerphone | Yes | 0.04 |
| hbujiknkkjol | Yes | 0.04 |
| fdrxsedfrx | Yes | 0.04 |
| Noteworthy-Toque | Yes | 0.04 |
| aefdasdfes | Yes | 0.02 |
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