Analytics
Resolved No on 19 Aug 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 66.5% on 2 Jul 2024. Before it settled, across the 49 daily closes on record from 2 Jul 2024 to 19 Aug 2024, the highest close was 70% on 16 Jul 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 17 Aug 2024. Its largest one-day move was 30 points down, to 37% on 3 Jul 2024. $1.41M traded over the market's life.
41 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 20, 10:03 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 49 points, 2 Jul 2024 – 19 Aug 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Jul 2024 | 66.5% |
| 19 Aug 2024 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Peaceful-Kilt | Yes | 5.89K |
| JCpalm | Yes | 409.2 |
| DMR | Yes | 76.92 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Joe Biden is nominated as the Democratic candidate for the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election through a virtual roll call before the start of the Democratic National Convention (DNC), currently scheduled for August 19, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the DNC, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/biden-nominated-by-virtual-roll-call-before-dnc
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Yes |
| 10.26 |
| wangx | Yes | 5.88 |
| translight | Yes | 5 |
| m4rk3rx | Yes | 4 |
| PolyAnglo | Yes | 1.37 |
| niceguyreallynice | Yes | 0.77 |
| introverts | Yes | 0.71 |
