Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Aug 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 28.5% on 17 Jul 2024. Before it settled, across the 16 daily closes on record from 17 Jul 2024 to 1 Aug 2024, the highest close was 28.5% on 17 Jul 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 27 Jul 2024. Its largest one-day move was 26 points down, to 2.6% on 18 Jul 2024. $174.87K traded over the market's life.
11 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 2, 5:13 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 16 points, 17 Jul 2024 – 1 Aug 2024, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 Jul 2024 | 28.5% |
| 1 Aug 2024 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| chreezus | Yes | 71.43 |
| moorepark | Yes | 2.63 |
| 1mperator17 | No | 0.06 |
| Pristine-Poppy | Yes | 0.02 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Joe Biden is formally nominated by the Democratic National Committee as the Democratic presidential candidate by July 31, 2024 11:59 PM PT. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be official announcements from the Democratic National Committee however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used .
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/biden-nominated-by-july-31
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| fhantombets | No | 0.02 |
| route | No | 0.02 |
| pocahontasporker | No | 0.02 |
| etywy | No | 0.01 |
| lllmn | No | 0.01 |
| betfuture.eth | Yes | 0.01 |
