Analytics
Resolved No on 8 Aug 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 35.5% on 18 Jul 2024. Before it settled, across the 22 daily closes on record from 18 Jul 2024 to 8 Aug 2024, the highest close was 35.5% on 18 Jul 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 7 Aug 2024. Its largest one-day move was 24 points down, to 11.5% on 19 Jul 2024. $61.45K traded over the market's life.
8 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 8, 6:52 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 22 points, 18 Jul 2024 – 8 Aug 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 18 Jul 2024 | 35.5% |
| 8 Aug 2024 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| bune | Yes | 28.28 |
| clickingbuttons | Yes | 1.25 |
| niceguyreallynice | Yes | 1 |
| lllmn | No | 0.08 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Joe Biden is formally nominated by the Democratic National Committee as the Democratic presidential candidate by August 7, 2024 11:59 PM PT. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be official announcements from the Democratic National Committee, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/biden-nominated-by-august-7
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Eube | No | 0.02 |
| Half-Full-Moon | Yes | 0.02 |
| Dominicj | No | 0.01 |
| ExhaustedBoyBilly | No | 0.01 |
