Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Aug 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 6.5% on 10 Jul 2024. Before it settled, across the 23 daily closes on record from 10 Jul 2024 to 1 Aug 2024, the highest close was 35.5% on 13 Jul 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 28 Jul 2024. Its largest one-day move was 30 points up, to 35.5% on 13 Jul 2024. $100.12K traded over the market's life.
7 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 2, 5:13 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 23 points, 10 Jul 2024 – 1 Aug 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Jul 2024 | 6.5% |
| 1 Aug 2024 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| m4rk3rx | Yes | 16.67 |
| riverfishing | Yes | 5 |
| 80100220 | Yes | 5 |
| Coral Quasar AD18 | No | 0.11 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Joseph Biden takes a test specifically for measuring his cognitive capacity, and it is publicly reported that he took such a test, between July 1 and July 31, 2024 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/biden-cognitive-test-before-august
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| autist | No | 0.11 |
| 1mperator17 | No | 0.03 |
| meditator | No | 0.01 |
