Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Apr 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 6.5% on 14 Feb 2024. Before it settled, across the 48 daily closes on record from 14 Feb 2024 to 1 Apr 2024, the highest close was 9.5% on 16 Feb 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 1 Apr 2024. $159.14K traded over the market's life.
3 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 7, 11:10 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 48 points, 14 Feb 2024 – 1 Apr 2024, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 14 Feb 2024 | 6.5% |
| 1 Apr 2024 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Jebba | Yes | 73.08 |
| bluesrob | Yes | 12.5 |
| testorrrr-testing-mc-testfacey | Yes | 6 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Joseph Biden takes a test specifically for measuring his cognitive capacity, and it is publicly reported that he took such a test, between February 12 and March 31, 2024 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/biden-cognitive-test-before-april
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