Analytics
Resolved Yes on 25 Jul 2023.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 91.5%. Yes opened at 60% on 20 Jul 2023. Before it settled, across the 6 daily closes on record from 20 Jul 2023 to 25 Jul 2023, the highest close was 92% on 24 Jul 2023 and the lowest 59.5% on 21 Jul 2023. Its largest one-day move was 31 points up, to 90% on 22 Jul 2023. $4.22K traded over the market's life.
Polymarket record as of Jul 26, 10:16 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 20 Jul 2023 – 25 Jul 2023
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 20 Jul 2023 | 60.0% |
| 25 Jul 2023 | 91.5% |
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If the US Department of Defense (DoD) announces the Biden Administration's forty-third drawdown of equipment from DoD inventories for Ukraine since August 2021 by July 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Note that an announcement will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." This market's resolution only concerns the forty-third drawdown of equipment from DoD inventories for Ukraine since August 2021, and not other aid packages. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the DoD (e.g. https://www.defense.gov/News/Releases/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolution source: https://www.defense.gov/News/Releases/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/biden-additional-aid-to-ukraine-by-july-31
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