Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jul 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 30.5% on 16 Feb 2024. Before it settled, across the 137 daily closes on record from 16 Feb 2024 to 1 Jul 2024, the highest close was 65.5% on 2 Mar 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 1 Jul 2024. Its largest one-day move was 31 points up, to 59.5% on 18 Mar 2024. $94.6K traded over the market's life.
26 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 2, 8:30 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 137 points, 16 Feb 2024 – 1 Jul 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 Feb 2024 | 30.5% |
| 1 Jul 2024 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| lilairmo | Yes | 216.58 |
| ifyouwinyouwin | Yes | 115.19 |
| whocares? | Yes | 83.33 |
qqq
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/airdrops-by-june-30
New to prediction markets?
| Yes |
| 71.43 |
| sahfen1 | No | 35.71 |
| diuy64 | No | 16.98 |
| cheers | Yes | 7.49 |
| jenniej | No | 7.04 |
| dioiet | No | 2.3 |
| ClarkP002 | Yes | 2.08 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
