Analytics
Resolved Yes on 9 Sep 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.8%. Yes opened at 83.5% on 27 Aug 2025. Before it settled, the high was 99.8% on 9 Sep 2025 and the low 83.5% on 27 Aug 2025. Its largest one-day move was 9.5 points up, to 93% on 28 Aug 2025. $281.58K traded over the market's life.
67 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 10, 4:39 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 14 points · 27 Aug 2025 – 9 Sep 2025 · axis zoomed to 80%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Aug 2025 | 83.5% |
| 9 Sep 2025 | 99.8% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| IlllIIIlIIllI | No | 100K |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | No | 6.23K |
| thlik | No | 3.71K |
| littlestranger | No | 3.09K |
| Viguene | No | 3.06K |
| Amber Harbor 86C9 | No | 2.86K |
| commiemoney | No | 2K |
| Good-Natured-Narrative | No | 1.84K |
| Sizzling-Clearance | No | 1.71K |
| JulieLetale | No | 1.42K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if François Bayrou is no longer serving as Prime Minister of France for any length of time between August 24 and September 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement of François Bayrou's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. This market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bayrou-out-as-french-pm-in-2025
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