Analytics
Resolved Kyrgios on 28 Dec 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Kyrgios at 81.5%. Yes opened at 38.5% on 13 Nov 2025. Before it settled, across the 47 daily closes on record from 13 Nov 2025 to 28 Dec 2025, the highest close was 38.5% on 13 Nov 2025 and the lowest 14.5% on 25 Nov 2025. Its largest one-day move was 14 points down, to 24.5% on 14 Nov 2025. $3.43M traded over the market's life.
234 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 30, 12:36 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 47 points, 13 Nov 2025 – 28 Dec 2025, chart shows 0%–50%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 13 Nov 2025 | 38.5% |
| 28 Dec 2025 | 18.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| BrandonK | Sabalenka | 59.28K |
| gopfan2 | Sabalenka | 50K |
| PolyBlaster | Sabalenka | 30K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers to the exhibition tennis match between Aryna Sabalenka and Nick Kyrgios, scheduled for December 28 in Dubai. This market will resolve to 'Sabalenka' if Aryna Sabalenka defeats Nick Kyrgios. This market will resolve to 'Kyrgios' if Nick Kyrgios defeats Aryna Sabalenka. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player wins due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who is declared the winner. The primary resolution source will be official information from event organizers or credible sports media reporting on the exhibition match. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Note: Special rules apply to this exhibition match, including the use of only one serve per point and a reduced court size on Sabalenka’s side. This market will resolve according to the winner as determined under the match’s official rules.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/battle-of-the-sexes-aryna-sabalenka-vs-nick-kyrgios
| Sabalenka |
| 25K |
| slavaamerica2 | Sabalenka | 21.17K |
| Basketking | Sabalenka | 16.83K |
| Clean-Pineapple | Sabalenka | 16.38K |
| lacerise27 | Sabalenka | 13.9K |
| Edgeguy505 | Sabalenka | 12.55K |
| pipi10 | Sabalenka | 10K |
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