Analytics
Resolved No on 2 May 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 76%. Yes opened at 25% on 12 Dec 2023. Before it settled, across the 143 daily closes on record from 12 Dec 2023 to 2 May 2024, the highest close was 37.5% on 18 Jan 2024 and the lowest 2.5% on 6 Apr 2024. Its largest one-day move was 23 points down, to 9% on 2 Feb 2024. $14.92K traded over the market's life.
6 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 7, 11:09 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 143 points, 12 Dec 2023 – 2 May 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Dec 2023 | 25.0% |
| 2 May 2024 | 23.9% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| MatiasD | Yes | 939.19 |
| Cobalt Tide 312D | Yes | 177 |
| Evvv | Yes | 25 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Base launches a token and announces they have performed an airdrop between December 10, 2023 and May 1, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market "locked" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes". The primary resolution source for this market is on-chain information and official information from the Base team, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/base-airdrop-by-may-1
| Yes |
| 20.41 |
| Listle | No | 0.22 |
| layups | No | 0.05 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
