Bangladesh July Charter referendum passes?

The July Charter referendum is a 2026 constitutional referendum on amendments to the Constitution of Bangladesh, proposed for the general election currently set for February 12, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the national referendum held pursuant to the “July National Charter (Constitutional Reform) Implementation Order, 2025” (or any successor order explicitly replacing it) is passed by voters in the Bangladesh general election currently set for February 12, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If the election is officially rescheduled, the same rule applies to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines. This market will resolve to "no" if no qualifying referendum vote is passed by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source will be based on the official certified results of the vote as published by the Election Commission of Bangladesh. Subsequent litigation, administrative challenges, or failure of any post-approval implementation steps will not be considered.

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