Analytics
Resolved No on 24 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.5%. Yes opened at 20.5% on 23 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 23 Mar 2026 to 24 Mar 2026, the highest close was 20.5% on 23 Mar 2026 and the lowest 1.5% on 24 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 19 points down, to 1.5% on 24 Mar 2026.
41 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 25, 10:05 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 23 Mar 2026 – 24 Mar 2026, chart shows 0%–25%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 23 Mar 2026 | 20.5% |
| 24 Mar 2026 | 1.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| PuperSuper | Yes | 12.01K |
| dotheoppositeofme | Yes | 6.6K |
| nbabii | Yes | 4.62K |
| crosscross | Yes | 2.5K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Backpack's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Backpack (https://x.com/Backpack) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/backpack-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch
| neutralwave23 | Yes | 2.19K |
| naftalina | Yes | 1.67K |
| AlexLesley | Yes | 611.77 |
| eteac3880 | Yes | 548.37 |
| TENETENET | Yes | 500 |
| WwW5555555555555 | Yes | 384.38 |
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