Analytics
Resolved Yes on 8 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 9.5%. Yes opened at 29% on 4 Aug 2026. Before it settled, across the 5 daily closes on record from 4 Aug 2026 to 8 Aug 2026, the highest close was 29% on 4 Aug 2026 and the lowest 8.5% on 6 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 20 points down, to 9% on 5 Aug 2026. $217.91 traded over the market's life.
5 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 9, 7:33 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 4 Aug 2026 – 8 Aug 2026, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Aug 2026 | 29.0% |
| 8 Aug 2026 | 9.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| WreckedBag | No | 5 |
| triklozoid | No | 5 |
| ludomun | No | 4.87 |
| sxmachine | No | 1.4 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
In the upcoming Austria Bundesliga game between TSV Hartberg and SK Sturm Graz, scheduled for August 8, 2026 at 1:30 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the TSV Hartberg vs. SK Sturm Graz match originally scheduled for August 8, 2026 at 1:30 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Resolution source: https://www.bundesliga.at/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/aut-htb-stu-2026-08-08-exact-score
| tstc5dkkkjb5 | No | 1.38 |
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